Field Notes
Commentary, not graded receipts. Checkpoints, anniversaries and methodology notes on the claims in the record.
2026
- SWE-bench Verified checkpoint for superhuman coder claim
- Hinton radiologist prediction — 10-year anniversary context
- Amodei 90%-of-code claim — September 2025 checkpoint context
- One year after the IMO gold-medal claim's target date
- Two years before the Metaculus weakly-general AI target date
- Anniversary: Superhuman Coder Prediction Turns One
- Checkpoint: Mid-2025 Stumbling Agents Status
- The 90%-of-code window has closed
- Five years past the radiologist call
- Why receipts, not vibes