Field Note — commentary, not a graded receipt
Checkpoint: Mid-2025 Stumbling Agents Status
The AI-2027 scenario forecast predicted the appearance of first usable AI coding agents by mid-2025. This checkpoint was assessed as 'hit' in June 2026, confirming that coding agents emerged and began autonomously resolving real GitHub issues on the SWE-bench Verified benchmark. The source for this assessment is the SWE-bench leaderboard.