Field Note — commentary, not a graded receipt
Anniversary: Superhuman Coder Prediction Turns One
The 'superhuman coder by end of 2027' prediction from the AI-2027 report was made in April 2025. As of this anniversary, the target date of December 2027 is still 18 months away. The prediction's associated checkpoints show progress from 'stumbling agents' in mid-2025 to coding agents exceeding 85% on SWE-bench Verified by mid-2026.