Field Note — commentary, not a graded receipt

Two years before the Metaculus weakly-general AI target date

anniversary · 2026-07-02

The Metaculus community forecast, made in 2020, predicts the public announcement of the first weakly general AI system around 2028. The target date is still two years away. The ledger has not yet taken a verified read of the live community median; the claim remains undetermined pending one.

← see the claim on the ledger