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Missedlabor

Deep learning outperforms radiologists within five years, so we should stop training them now

Missed · called by 2021

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Missed

Missed · called by 2021

US radiologist workforce headcount vs. 2016US radiologist count rose 17.3% (30,723 to 36,024) from 2014 to 2023, amid a persistent shortage

Verified blind: DeepSeek V4 + Grok — agree

How it's graded

Met if AI had displaced human radiologists (falling demand / headcount) by ~2021; failed if the workforce kept growing and AI became a complement

Receipts · 3
Ledger history
  • 2026-06-24: seeded
  • 2026-06-25: demoted pending bulletproof re-grade
  • 2026-07-02: Target date (2021) long past. Neiman HPI (measurement): radiologist headcount grew 17.3% (30,723 to 36,024) from 2014-2023; Nature (2025) corroborates a persistent shortage. Graded wrong per rubric.

Every verdict on the ledger is graded against dated, archived third-party evidence and blind-verified by two independent models.