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Pendingtimelines

AGI arrives in the next five to ten years (2030–2035)

Pending · due 2035

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Pending

Pending · due 2035

Public demonstration of a generally human-level systemunknown — long-dated claim, tracking

How it's graded

Met if a system widely accepted as AGI (general human-level capability across domains) is publicly demonstrated between 2030 and 2035; graded early as wrong only if Hassabis's stated criteria are clearly unmet by end of 2035

Receipts · 1

Every verdict on the ledger is graded against dated, archived third-party evidence and blind-verified by two independent models.